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No matter how much Nigeria refutes Niger's allegations, this will not change much in the eyes of the populations of these countries who want to leave ECOWAS. In the space of 2 years, Nigeria has gone from being a model country in these countries to an imperialist country. The reasoning in these countries is sometimes as follows:

No ECOWAS member country will go and fight in these countries without Nigeria because it has more weight than the others, and if Nigeria decided to go and fight, the others would follow.

This reasoning may seem far-fetched but it works for the people.

The same kind of reasoning applies to ECOWAS:

When the terrorists attacked our countries with your democratically elected presidents, you did nothing, but when our soldiers took power to protect us from the terrorists, you began to take an interest in our countries, to the point of wanting to reinstall your comrades.

When our soldiers took power, you imposed sanctions on us and that prevented us from fighting the terrorists effectively. So ECOWAS and the terrorists are long-distance buddies with the blessing of the eternal imperialists: France and the USA.

-You talk to us about democracy but when one of your cronies changes the constitution of his country to stay in power you say nothing...

Here is some of the reasoning that goes on in these countries, especially at grassroots level.

This reasoning may seem absurd, but it is simple, effective and has a certain honesty about it, and I don't see how ECOWAS can get away with it.

Generally speaking, I think that ECOWAS has failed these countries a little bit by lumping them all together without taking into account the mentalities of the populations of each country, or their leaders. It tends to forget that there is a certain interdependence between the actions, the rhetoric of the military in power and the expectations of the people with regard to them.

Take the example of Burkina Faso, which I know a little well. If by chance the military were to organise elections at the moment, the president would be overthrown within 6 months to 1 year, especially if terrorism is still present. So if you talk about elections, they tell you that elections are for << those who have food to eat, those who have land to cultivate >>. The military in power even rely on this argument to do nothing, because they themselves are not safe from a coup d'état, especially if the population begins to understand that they are not as effective as they claim.

I don't know how things work in other countries such as Niger or Mali, but with such a view of things, ECOWAS can do nothing.

What's more, it has just given these countries another reason by extending their withdrawal by 6 months, which seems a bit desperate. Whatever happens in these countries during this period, they will hold ECOWAS responsible.This is perhaps the background to the allegations made by the President of Niger.He has found an opportunity to vent internal stress on Nigeria.The allegations could have been made about ECOWAS, but what better place than Nigeria or Côte d'Ivoire, depending on whether you are in Burkina Faso or Niger.

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